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Buying Stocks Seems like a Really Bad Idea Right Now October 8, 2006

Posted by Unreasonable in Matters Financial.
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…if you are a long term investor and especially if you’re an index fund investor.

Judging from the media frenzy over the last two weeks somebody might get the impression that the market is really heathy and everything is groovy. It is not. The Dow is only 30 big stocks, and the rest of the market is not keeping up. There are a number of factors that should start to drag it back down any minute.

This week’s essay by Adam Hamilton at Zeal LLC sums it up nicely. The chart below compares last week’s new highs to the highs set in 1973. I think we should see the Dow below 8,000 before we see it above 13,000.

 

Barry Ritholtz posted this from Chart of the Day Friday. Click on the chart for his comments.

Chart of the Day via Big Picture Barry Ritholtz

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1. The Dow’s New Highs Aren’t All Their Made Out To Be « An Unreasonable Man - October 28, 2006

[…] Don’t get sucked in by the headlines. John Mauldin’s Thoughts from the Frontline […]


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